Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XRP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-06 0.443501 0.504548 0.573170 0.656453 0.755371 0.869819 1.013292
2024-10-13 0.351334 0.431015 0.529601 0.662356 0.839263 1.071013 1.404620
2024-10-20 0.292293 0.377027 0.488893 0.650904 0.885625 1.223422 1.766144
2024-10-27 0.253615 0.339927 0.459748 0.643610 0.928820 1.373156 2.159302
2024-11-03 0.235060 0.326251 0.458837 0.673656 1.029562 1.629429 2.801529
2024-11-10 0.215943 0.308434 0.448168 0.685215 1.100944 1.852364 3.461139
2024-11-17 0.195835 0.286263 0.427209 0.675575 1.132556 2.009891 4.047761
2024-11-24 0.177690 0.264892 0.404483 0.658695 1.146610 2.135530 4.612638
2024-12-01 0.165498 0.251586 0.393124 0.659634 1.193896 2.340255 5.456056
2024-12-08 0.157801 0.244724 0.391612 0.677988 1.279128 2.650988 6.735758
2024-12-15 0.148811 0.234724 0.383346 0.681940 1.334572 2.908504 8.007790
2024-12-22 0.138394 0.221284 0.367416 0.668298 1.348277 3.066256 9.055085
2024-12-29 0.133076 0.216513 0.367228 0.687580 1.444116 3.478656 11.328567
2025-01-05 0.126353 0.208649 0.360439 0.692118 1.506367 3.822741 13.648173
2025-01-12 0.118391 0.197835 0.346843 0.679820 1.523694 4.039929 15.623513
2025-01-19 0.111712 0.188860 0.335968 0.672097 1.551635 4.303273 18.111395
2025-01-26 0.109597 0.188293 0.341837 0.703815 1.695132 5.020997 24.037768
2025-02-02 0.105736 0.184028 0.339650 0.716023 1.786471 5.597474 30.067034
2025-02-09 0.100208 0.176077 0.328968 0.705841 1.808691 5.918225 34.861303
2025-02-16 0.094495 0.167367 0.315916 0.688016 1.803651 6.128022 39.205048
2025-02-23 0.090751 0.162351 0.310436 0.689008 1.859878 6.637343 47.480225
2025-03-02 0.088668 0.160550 0.311850 0.708390 1.982907 7.531557 62.488330
2025-03-09 0.085600 0.156497 0.307840 0.712564 2.055032 8.225433 77.784920